Tottenham v Middlesbrough, 14th January 8:05PM
A 4th round trip to Southampton is the prize for the winner of this one after they played out a 1-1 draw at the Riverside last week.
After a poor start to the season, Boro’s form has picked up – so much so that Jonathan Woodgate scooped the Championship’s Manager of the Month award for December. His side are on a six-game unbeaten run and certainly won’t fear a Spurs team that were lucky enough to escape with a replay in early January.
Jose Mourinho’s side, meanwhile, haven’t exactly been pulling up trees and have won just one of their last six fixtures. The Portuguese manager will be concerned at their lack of cutting edge, all the more so with Harry Kane facing a relatively long spell in the treatment room. Spurs have scored just eight in their last eight games, while Boro haven’t scored more than two goals in a game since the opening day of the season. It all suggests another low-scoring game at the Tottenham Hotspur Stadium on Tuesday night and we are plumping for Under 2.5 Goals at best price of 11/8.
We are just shying away from an upset here but we wouldn’t be surprised to see this one go the distance. Another draw after 90 minutes looks enticing at 5/1, while Boro Draw no bet can be backed at in or around 10/1.
Man United v Wolves, 15th January 7:45PM
We fancied Under 2.5 Goals when these sides met at Molineux and they duly obliged. A scoreless draw means they’ve to do it all again at Old Trafford on Wednesday night, with the victors meeting Watford or Tranmere Rovers in the FA Cup 4th round.
The stalemate in the first fixtures means they have shared just nine goals in their last five meetings and you have to fancy another dour encounter here. Under 2.5 Goals again comes in around 5/6, but Under 1.5 Goals is certainly worth considering at 5/2 with Bet365.
Wolves have had the upper hand in recent years, winning two and drawing the other three of those five meetings. However, we fancy the tide to turn here. Despite their general inconsistency, Man United have only been beaten once at home this season – to Crystal Palace in late August – and have won their last three in all competitions at Old Trafford quite comfortably. Another home win here is 20/21 but we really like the look of a win for Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s side and Under 2.5 Goals at 10/3. A 1-0 win is quite short at 6/1 but is our most favoured correct score outcome.
Marcus Rashford, Anthony Martial and Mason Greenwood all got the score-sheet in Saturday’s 4-0 win against Norwich and should all play some part on Wednesday night. The former is 14/5 to open the scoring, while Martial and Greenwood are 16/5 to break the deadlock against Nuno Espirito Santo’s side. Due to his spot-kick duties you have to fancy Rashford to score and he represents decent value at EVS to get on the score-sheet at any time across the 90 minutes.
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